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Option Return Predictability

Date: Monday, June 20th, 14:00--16:00

Location:317, Ge Zhi Building, Liu Lin Campus

The public lecture

Given by

Professor: Han Bing

Toronto University

Abstract:

The cross-section of delta-hedged equity option returns can be predicted by a variety of underlying stock characteristics and firm fundamentals including idiosyncratic volatility, past stock returns, profitability, cash holding, new share issuance, and dispersion of analyst forecasts, although they do not significantly predict stock returns in our sample. We document new option portfolio strategies that are profitable even after transaction costs. These profits are robust and cannot be explained by common risk factors. The systematic patterns in the relative valuation of options and the underlying stocks we uncover have important implications for option pricing models and option market efficiency.

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